When countries play “the world’s game,” a.k.a. soccer or football, it takes a lot to win: skill, strategy, teamwork, and sometimes a bit of luck. The result of any hotly-contested, 90-minute match could depend on a millimeter of soccer cleat, a freak ricochet off a defender’s leg, and too many other variables to count.
Where does this kind of game-winning luck come from? Could music have anything to do with it?
We had some fun determining the luckiest song for fans in each of these soccer-loving countries. We used anonymous, aggregated data about what fans were listening to when their team won or lost previous games, as well as a few other factors. (If you’re interested in exactly how we created the actually-quite-rigorous “superstition score” that chose these songs, see the methodology below.)
Here are the songs that, according to our scientifically-derived superstition score, will help each of these 12 football-loving countries win their games.
If you’re looking for something lucky to play before your team’s next match, search no further.
Argentina: Soda Stereo – “Cuando Pase El Temblor”
Australia and Germany: Bag Raiders – Shooting Stars
*Oddly enough, Australia and Germany share the same lucky song!
Brazil: Matheus & Kauan — Decide Aí – Na Praia / Ao Vivo
Colombia: Cali Y El Dandee – Por Fin Te Encontré
France: Snoop Dogg – Young, Wild & Free (feat. Bruno Mars)
Japan: ONE OK ROCK – Clock Strikes
Mexico: Panteon Rococo – La Dosis Perfecta
Perú: Los Abuelos De La Nada – Mil Horas
Spain: Beret – Dime Quien Ama de Verdad
Sweden: Nause – Dynamite (feat. Pretty Sister)
England: The Killers – Mr. Brightside
If you want to geek out about this, here’s where these songs came from. We ranked songs in each country by a superstition score consisting of a weighted mix of the following metrics, normalized where appropriate by each song’s share of streaming, to accommodate for normal variation of overall streaming levels there:
- Win-to-loss score: the ratio between a song’s streams in the country on winning days vs. losing days
- Match day score: the ratio between a song’s streams in the country on game days vs. other days
- Country relevance score: the ratio between a song’s streams in the country vs. elsewhere — i.e. how unique it is to that country
- Country rank score: the song’s highest rank in a country on match days
Did we have to apply such rigor to answer this question? Probably not, but we figured that the teams are working hard and playing hard, so we should too.